England Premier League
Sunday 15th May 2022
Kick off at 2pm BST
Venue: Elland Road
Leeds are in a scary position now, with just 2 games left to play they find themselves in 18th place and currently going back to the Championship. It doesn’t help that their goal difference is highly inferior to the clubs above them in Burnley and Everton, also they have played a game more. If Leeds were to lose or draw here and Everton win later in the day then Leeds would have to rely on Burnley slipping up in their final games.
The situation looks bleak for Jesse Marsch’s side and their form is poor too with 3 defeats in a row and we would have to go back to April 9th for their last win which came against Watford- a side lower than them. Being at home and with the stakes raised so high the onus is on Leeds to come out here and put a good game on but the club has some key injuries to go with the lack of confidence and this is set to be a difficult game.
Brighton are not fighting for anything other than trying to finish in the top half of the table and they are in 9th place which would represent a solid season for a club who have struggled over the years. Leeds would love Brighton’s form right now and the Seagulls come into this game winning their last two in a row and they are unbeaten in their last three. Last weekend was quite a game for Graham Potter’s side as they destroyed Manchester United 4-0 at home. That sums up United’s season but of course it was a fantastic win for Brighton.
Graham Potter’s team have a better away record than at home and that makes them very dangerous here, they would rank 6th in the league for their away record which has seen them win 28 points from a possible 54. They have also won 3 of their last four games on the road and that loss was against Manchester City.
Leeds: Luke Ayling is serving a 3 game suspension and is ruled out for the season. Daniel James will also miss the rest of the season due to his sending off in midweek and has been suspended for 3 games. Patrick Bamford has recovered from injury but has fitness issues and is only 50/50 to return for this game after an injury ravaged season. Jack Harrison’s leg injury isn’t as serious as first thought and he could be back for this game and will be assessed. Adam Forshaw (knee) and Tyler Roberts (hamstring) are out for the season.
Brighton: There are no new injuries for the club ahead of this game but Enock Mwepu (groin), Jeremy Sarmiento (hamstring) and Jakub Moder (knee) are all out for the season.
Leeds vs Brighton Head to Head:
Last season this fixture finished 1-0 to Brighton.
In the last 10 meetings Leeds has just 1 win over Brighton and that was five years ago
The last five meetings have all seen under 2.5 goals.
Leeds vs Brighton Prediction:
This is a tough game for Leeds and in some ways even more tough than had they been facing a top six side. Brighton are a strong and solid unit who have a terrific record over Leeds and also are one of the best away sides in the league. We haven’t really seen a positive reaction from Leeds expect when Marsch took over from the sacked Marcelo Bielsa. Defence improved for a few weeks and we did see some fight against Arsenal recently but only once the game looked lost. If you look at Burnley and Everton when the chips looked down, the clubs went back to the drawing board, they trained extensively about different tactics and shoring up defence, it doesn’t always work of course but those two clubs look like their hard work behind the scenes is paying off. This is what Marsch needs to adapt to in this side and the worry is that time has run out for them.
Make no mistakes finishing in the top half of the table for Brighton is very important for them and they come here to win. It should be a close game but the Seagulls come here with absolutely no pressure on them at all, we feel that Leeds seem to falter in the pressure so we will back the away win with the draw covered on the refund at good odds considering the recent history between the two clubs.
Leeds vs Brighton Betting Tips:
Asian handicap (0.0 Brighton) at 1.89
Anytime goalscorer: Leandro Trossard at 3.25
Anytime goalscorer: Patrick Bamford at 2.50
Both teams to score at 1.70