With seven rounds already played for most teams, the 2022/23 English Premier League season is already well underway, and already some trends are making themselves visible. There are many betting tips sites that help focus on individual match predictions and tips, some like KickForm Premier League Tipps are based on formula methodology, whilst others like our own Premier League previews and predictions are based more on a combination of individual football knowledge and statistical data. In this article however we're going to focus on some longer term predictions based on these early trends we're seeing, like the title race and the race to avoid relegation into the Championship.
The Title Race
Currently leading the league are Arsenal who look rejuvenated since their new striker Gabriel Jesus signed in the summer. They've been playing great football in defence and attack and yet they are a very generous 10/1 to win the title. So there is clearly plenty of doubt that they have what it takes to maintain this good form, and we largely support this doubt seeing as their opponents have been somewhat unchallenging in quality, and the only "Top 6" team they have faced so far were Man Utd who beat them 3-1.
Sitting second in the league currently are Manchester City at very short odds of 1/3, and once again the bookies are spot on here. Other than a couple of underwhelming displays away from home, they have looked as strong as ever, and in Erling Haaland they have an absolute goal machine up front now. We can only see Man City not winning the title if Haaland suffers some kind of long term injury.
Currently in 3rd position on the same points as Man City are Tottenham, and they are looking a strong side with far more fight than in previous seasons. This is largely down to Antonio Conte who is getting the best out of his players. Spurs are currently odds of 14/1 to win the league and this could well be down to strength in depth, do they have the quality to come in if key players get injured, we are not convinced they do.
The big surprises of the season so far are Chelsea and Liverpool, down in 7th and 8th respectively and both struggling to find their usual form. Liverpool have struggled in all areas thanks to injuries/suspensions to key players like Ibrahima Konaté and Thiago Alcântara, and Darwin Núñez looking like he'll need time to adapt to the Premier League. Despite this they are still second favourites at 7/1 and will most likely find their form and be comfortable top 4 finishers come the end of the season. Chelsea however are a bit of an unknown now Thomas Tuchel has been replaced by Graham Potter, and they may well just be focusing on getting a top 4 finish now.
As for Manchester Utd, they sit in 5th currently and are also 33/1 like Chelsea. They look to have improved recently, winning their last 4 games, however with only 8 goals scored from 6 games this season, that's hardly an attacking output which would cause anyone to think they would be serious title contenders. Top 4 would be a very good achievement for them this season.
Two teams stand out from our perspective as favourites for relegation, Bournemouth and Nottm Forest. Yes Bournemouth are currently in 12th, however the lack of goal threat combined with the number of goals both these teams are conceding should be greatly concerning. Other than those two, it's a tough call, but one thing's for sure, with only 1 point so far this season, Leicester need to make some big improvements in form if they want to avoid relegation.