England Premier League
Monday 3rd May 2021
Kick off at 8:15pm BST
Venue: Turf Moor
Burnley are almost home and dry and with 36 points coming into this game they are 9 clear of Fulham who have played a game more. It’s not that Sean Dyche’s team have found form in the last remaining games it is that Fulham stopped winning games and it is almost certain that Burnley will be safe now.
Still they would love to confirm their safety with a win at home over West Ham. On paper that won’t be easy given how good the Hammers have been this season but the Premier League rarely is. The good news for Dyche’s team is that they were able to end a 3 game losing run by beating Wolves away from home 4-0. A win alone would have been seen as a good result but scoring 4 goals and keeping a clean sheet would have been a magic moment for a club who have endured a hard campaign overall.
West Ham’s dreams of a top four finish and Champions League football next season are almost over. Back to back defeats against Newcastle and Chelsea has almost ensured this outcome, and the Hammers will have to get all 3 points on Monday night to keep the dream alive. David Moyes side come into this game six points off the pace and if they get a good win then a chance certainly remains.
But the worry with West Ham is getting back on that winning trail. Whilst some may have believed that Chelsea were always going to beat them, the Newcastle loss and the way it happened with the Magpies being 3-0 up at one point would have raised some doubts about West Ham’s staying power. The Hammers have been strong at home but on the road they have lost 3 from their last four games now and facing Burnley could be another potential banana skin.
Burnley: An update on Robert Brady suggests that he could miss the rest of the season due to his Achilles injury. Kevin Long has been ruled out also due to an Achilles injury.
West Ham: Michail Antonio is back in training following his muscle injury and could face a late test but is a major doubt for this game. Aaron Cresswell has a hamstring injury and is recovering well but is expected not to be ready for this one. Arthur Masuaku has an ongoing knock meaning he has missed several games now. He could be assessed but is unlikely to feature. Declan Rice is out with a knee injury.
Burnley vs West Ham Head to Head:
Last season Burnley won this fixture 3-0.
Earlier in the season West Ham beat Burnley 1-0 in the reverse fixture this ended 3 games in a row where the Hammers had lost.
There is a 60% chance to see under 2.5 goals.
Burnley vs West Ham Prediction:
Burnley aren’t getting the maximum points week in and week out but they are playing some decent football. Take their 3-1 loss at Manchester United a few weeks ago, many obserevrs agreed that the team played some very good football and in fact United were made to dig deep for the result.
If West Ham are still licking their wounds from their two recent defeats or look at 4th place and think that six points is a big gap to a club like Chelsea- which could be easily done, a pre 2020 West Ham mindset could come into play, one where the club feel they are defeated before a ball is kicked. We have seen it many times before and what has been unique about Moyes’ side this season has been to witness the opposite of that. The Hammers in short have looked refreshing and hungry.
West Ham have the capabilities to come here and win well, they really do. But Burnley will have a spring in their step, be at home and still be gloating about sticking past 4 goals against Wolves, this remains a much harder game for West Ham than perhaps the opponents name has on offer. Therefore we will still back West Ham but with the draw covered on the refund.
Looking at the recent form of both teams we can also see this game containing a number of goals.
Burnley vs West Ham Betting Tips:
Draw no bet (West Ham) at 1.72
Total goals (Over 2.5) at 1.90