England Premier League
Sunday 22nd May 2022
Kick off at 4pm BST
Venue: Turf Moor
What a day it will be for Burnley, they will either be celebrating just like Everton did on Thursday evening or the mood will be horrendous as they would have been relegated despite changing manager.
The good news for Burnley is that their destiny is in their hands because of the goal difference they have over Leeds. As long as they win this game they will be safe, and even if they were to draw or lose and if Leeds repeated that result in their game then Burnley would still also be safe. As for Burnley’s form the club drew their last game 1-1 away to Aston Villa but were leading and that would have been a huge win for them, basically meaning Mike Jackson’s club would have been safe coming into the final game. It’s been four games since the club did win and that was against Watford, a side who are below them.
Not surprisingly form has been much better at home for Burnley with 21 of their 35 points coming this way. A recent 3-1 loss against Aston Villa stopped a three game winning run, but their majority of results here have still ended in defeats with seven so far.
Newcastle are on a high as the team try to reach new levels and Eddie Howe would have been delighted with his sides 2-0 victory over Arsenal. What made it significant is that Arsenal were fighting for 4th place and yet were still outplayed by this emerging Newcastle team. Newcastle are in 12th place and because of goal difference the highest position they would be able to finish in this season is 10th, that’s not bad going when they looked like they would be in a relegation fight at the turn of the year. The club have won 3 of their last five games losing two in between but they were against Manchester City and Liverpool.
Recent away form has been poor for the Magpies with four defeats from their last five games but they have had some very tough games including having to play Everton, Chelsea and Manchester City. They did beat Norwich in between those defeats.
Burnley: Matthew Lowton is suspended after his sending off in midweek. Ben Mee will be assessed to play in the last game but has some fitness issues, he may come off the bench. Erik Pieters has a calf injury and is a major doubt to make this game. Jay Rodriguez is 50/50 because of his hamstring. Matej Vydra is out with a knee injury. Ashley Westwood is out with his ankle.
Newcastle: Javier Manquillo is being tipped to return after illness. Fabian Schar could be back after his head injury but he will have to be assessed with tests. Chris Wood is being tipped to have some part in this game after suffering a hip injury. Joseph Willock and Jonjo Shelvey are both sidelined.
Burnley vs Newcastle Head to Head:
Last season Newcastle won this fixture 2-1.
Earlier in the season in the reverse fixture Newcastle won 1-0.
In the last 8 league games Burnley have won just one of them.
There is a 70% chance to see under 2.5 goals.
Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction:
It’s pressure time for Burnley and the mood will change in the stadium depending on how Leeds are doing. It’s going to be edge of your seat stuff but at the same time Burnley have their noses in front because of the goal difference and unlike Leeds at least they are at home. The problem is that Burnley are facing a stronger side than Leeds opponents Brentford and Newcastle look slick and confident and will want to finish the season with a win.
With so many different permutations going on it may well be wise to avoid the correct result and instead back the goals market. We expect Burnley to stay up but it could well be a close run thing- a draw here and a Leeds defeat perhaps. For Burnley fans they will be praying and hoping that former forward Callum Wilson has a quiet game for the Magpies, if he was to send Burnley down they may well write volumes on that irony.
Burnley vs Newcastle Betting Tips:
Total goals (Over 2.5) at 1.90
Anytime goalscorer: Wout Weghorst at 2.75
Highest Scoring Half: 2nd half at 2.05